Hello, A yearly allocation for the LCRC cluster has been requested with the following updated information: Submitter/PI: Emil M Constantinescu Project Name: uncertainty-climate Division: MCS Project title: Uncertainty in weather forecasting for energy systems Associated funding: Other Systems: NFS @ MCS Science: The theoretical part of the project consists in developing uncertainty models for numerical weather and climate prediction systems for use in the operation and planning of energy systems. Fusion is used to run several scenarios and obtain forecasts and ensemble-based uncertainty information about ambient variables by running weather/climate simulation codes. We also perform adjoint sensitivity analyses that indicate suitable locations for meteorological sensor siting. This information is used in energy management applications such as stochastic optimization control loops that provides optimal operational point for energy systems. A secondary objective is to develop robust data assimilation methods (i.e., correct model predictions with observations) in order to calibrate weather and climate forecasts for effective operation and planning of energy systems. Project description: We will develop general spatial partitioning models for large spatial and spatio-temporal data sets for (1) identifying potential subregions that have different underlying spatial processes to address nonstationarity at presence for large spatial data; and (2) improving the computational feasibility via parallel computation over subregions and multi-level partitions. We will explore partitioning models that allow dependence structure across the whole study domain and communication between subregions. We will extend the spatial partitioning models using Dirichlet tessellation to grouping curves such as temporal or functional data and implement them under Bayesian frameworks. We will apply the models to the spectral radiance measurements in climate change study. Industry partnership: Project URL: http://www.mcs.anl.gov/~emconsta/Projects_ScalableIMEX.php Current FY Hours Used: undetermined amount New FY Requested allocation: 320000 Q1: 80000 Q2: 80000 Q3: 80000 Q4: 80000 Justification: Storage requirements: Thank You, The LCRC Accounts System