Epidemiologists were very early pioneers of data analytics. Florence Nightingale had some beautiful and meticulously-gathered graphs of mortality rates in military hospitals during the Crimean War in the 1850’s http://www.datascope.be/sog/SOG-Chapter5.pdf https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Florence_Nightingale#/media/File:Nightingale-m... She showed that death rates from hospital infections were many times higher than death rates on the battlefield, and she was able to successfully lobby for sanitary reform in military hospitals. This work was at the cusp of modern germ theory in general. Another great example from that time period was John Snow’s studies of cholera in the 1850’s (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1854_Broad_Street_cholera_outbreak). He was a proponent of germ theory, and he also used some meticulous data gathering to trace the source to a contaminated water source. -- Ron Rahaman Argonne National Laboratory Math and Computer Science Division Bldg 240, Room 1.E.14 [email protected]<mailto:[email protected]> From: <[email protected]> on behalf of Salman Habib <[email protected]> Date: Sunday, March 15, 2020 at 4:36 PM To: "Alexeev, Yuri" <[email protected]>, "Benali, Anouar" <[email protected]>, "[email protected]" <[email protected]>, "Balakrishnan, Ramesh" <[email protected]> Subject: Re: An informative article ... There's been a lot of research done on epidemic tracking in the US with very detailed modeling for the entire country and for specific cities as well. EpiSimS from Los Alamos is one example. The problem as you say is that no actionable plans were built around the modeling. Salman On 3/15/20 4:31 PM, Alexeev, Yuri wrote: When I worked for Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council (BBSRC) in UK, I interacted with mathematicians, who developed very sophisticated epidemic models for British government. It is all a well known science, which was developed for decades. British scientists developed stochastic and deterministic models at the national and world-wide scale at very high resolution (some of them were at Simcity level). They also modeled unrest, panic, and hysteria in the society. They also developed various national emergency plans how to stop and slow down spread of disease. I am sure US had similar research done and it was apparently mostly ignored. All preventive mechanisms work only in very early stages and we clearly passed it. Yuri ________________________________ From: [email protected]<mailto:[email protected]> <[email protected]><mailto:[email protected]> on behalf of Salman Habib <[email protected]><mailto:[email protected]> Sent: Sunday, March 15, 2020 3:55 PM To: Benali, Anouar <[email protected]><mailto:[email protected]>; [email protected]<mailto:[email protected]> <[email protected]><mailto:[email protected]>; Balakrishnan, Ramesh <[email protected]><mailto:[email protected]> Subject: Re: An informative article ... It's kind of crude (mostly just mean field theory, really). But gets the point across -- Modeling the contact process as a weighted graph is more realistic, if people have time to make their own models. Salman On 3/15/20 1:56 PM, Benali, Anouar wrote: Quiet good article!! Thanks!! Thank you Anouar Benali, PhD Computational Scientist Computational Science Division Argonne National Laboratory B-240, Office 2128 9700, S. Cass Ave, 60439, Lemont, IL, USA ________________________________ From: [email protected]<mailto:[email protected]> <[email protected]><mailto:[email protected]> on behalf of Balakrishnan, Ramesh <[email protected]><mailto:[email protected]> Sent: Sunday, March 15, 2020 12:41:55 PM To: [email protected]<mailto:[email protected]> <[email protected]><mailto:[email protected]> Subject: An informative article ... FYI … https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/world/corona-simulator/ Ramesh _______________________________________________ cps-employees mailing list [email protected]<mailto:[email protected]> https://lists.anl.gov/mailman/listinfo/cps-employees -- Salman Habib CPS and HEP Divisions Argonne National Laboratory -- Salman Habib CPS and HEP Divisions Argonne National Laboratory