When I worked for Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council (BBSRC) in UK, I interacted with mathematicians, who developed very sophisticated epidemic models for British government. It is all a well known science, which was developed for decades. British scientists developed stochastic and deterministic models at the national and world-wide scale at very high resolution (some of them were at Simcity level). They also modeled unrest, panic, and hysteria in the society. They also developed various national emergency plans how to stop and slow down spread of disease. I am sure US had similar research done and it was apparently mostly ignored. All preventive mechanisms work only in very early stages and we clearly passed it.

Yuri

From: cps-employees-bounces@lists.anl.gov <cps-employees-bounces@lists.anl.gov> on behalf of Salman Habib <habib@anl.gov>
Sent: Sunday, March 15, 2020 3:55 PM
To: Benali, Anouar <benali@anl.gov>; cps-all@anl.gov <cps-all@anl.gov>; Balakrishnan, Ramesh <bramesh@alcf.anl.gov>
Subject: Re: An informative article ...

It's kind of crude (mostly just mean field theory, really). But gets the point across --

Modeling the contact process as a weighted graph is more realistic, if people have time to make their own models.

Salman

Quiet good article!! Thanks!!

Thank you

Anouar Benali, PhD

Computational Scientist

Computational Science Division

Argonne National Laboratory

B-240, Office 2128

9700, S. Cass Ave,

60439, Lemont, IL, USA

---

From: cps-employees-bounces@lists.anl.gov <cps-employees-bounces@lists.anl.gov> on behalf of Balakrishnan, Ramesh <bramesh@alcf.anl.gov>
Sent: Sunday, March 15, 2020 12:41:55 PM
To: cps-all@anl.gov <cps-all@anl.gov>
Subject: An informative article ...

 

FYI …

https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/world/corona-simulator/

Ramesh

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Salman Habib
CPS and HEP Divisions
Argonne National Laboratory